Gremio vs Fluminense: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 18, 2016 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Fluminense won 0-1 on September 18, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 40′Gustavo ScarpaFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fluminense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2016 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2016 | Coritiba(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Botafogo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2016 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2016 | Atletico-MG(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2016 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Figueirense(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2016 | Corinthians(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2016 | Fluminense 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2015 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Aug 1, 2015 | Fluminense 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Fluminense 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Fluminense 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.4 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy