Fluminense vs Gremio: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on June 11, 2016 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Fluminense and Gremio drew 1-1 on June 11, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 41′Marcelo HermesGremio
- 75′Marcos JúniorFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Gremio have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2016 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 2, 2016 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2016 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2016 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2016 | Santa Cruz(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2016 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 3, 2016 | Palmeiras(away) | 3-4 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2016 | Coritiba(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2016 | Atletico-MG(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2016 | Flamengo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fluminense win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2015 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Aug 1, 2015 | Fluminense 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Fluminense 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Fluminense 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 28, 2013 | Gremio 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Gremio | 1.3 | 0.7 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy