Gremio vs Sport Recife: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 10Kick-off on July 18, 2012 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Sport Recife?
Gremio won 3-1 on July 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 39′Felipe AzevedoSport Recife
- 64′M. MorenoGremio
- 74′LeandroGremio
- 80′LeandroGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sport Recife have 3, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2012 | Cruzeiro(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Santos(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 24, 2012 | Flamengo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2012 | Portuguesa(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Corinthians(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Coritiba(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 24, 2012 | Internacional(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Bahia(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Recife score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sport Recife | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1 | 6/9 | 4/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy