Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 3Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Kirani James National Stadium, St. George's
The Footlab AI model makes St. Kitts and Nevis the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Grenada. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Kitts and Nevis wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,127 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Grenada (1,351) and St. Kitts and Nevis (1,429).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grenada
4-4-2- 8M. Hippolyte
- 9L. Akins
- 11Shavon Owner John-Brown
- 15J. Francis
- 14P. Muirhead
- 17A. Charles
- 5Kayden Harrack
- 16A. Paterson
- 13Greg Sandiford
- 91R. Frank
- 1Trishawn Thomas
St. Kitts and Nevis
4-1-4-1- 6J. Bowery
- 22O. Sterling-James
- 14T. Wharton
- 20Kyle Kelly
- 19R. Sawyers
- 8Y. Mitchum
- 3Rico Browne
- 2M. Roberts
- 12D. Thomas
- 17L. Crolla
- 18J. Archibald
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grenada have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; St. Kitts and Nevis have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bonaire(home) | 1-4 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bonaire(away) | 3-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | St. Kitts and Nevis(away) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Cuba(home) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| May 16, 2026 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cuba(away) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cuba(home) | 3-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Grenada(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bonaire(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Solomon Islands(home) | 4-2 | FIFA Series |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Grenada wins, 1 draw, 1 St. Kitts and Nevis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | St. Kitts and Nevis 3-0 Grenada | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 10, 2025 | St. Kitts and Nevis 2-3 Grenada | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Nov 14, 2019 | St. Kitts and Nevis 0-0 Grenada | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2019 | Grenada 2-1 St. Kitts and Nevis | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Dec 3, 2017 | St. Kitts and Nevis 1-9 Grenada | Friendlies |
| Oct 24, 2010 | Grenada 2-0 St. Kitts and Nevis | Caribbean Cup |
Last archived meeting: St. Kitts and Nevis vs Grenada on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grenada score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; St. Kitts and Nevis score 2.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grenada | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Kitts and Nevis the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Grenada.
- Where and when is Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis played?
- Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Kirani James National Stadium, in the CONCACAF Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.