SpVgg Unterhaching vs Wacker Burghausen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 36Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Uhlsport Park, Unterhaching
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Wacker Burghausen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SpVgg Unterhaching vs Wacker Burghausen?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate SpVgg Unterhaching (1,928) and Wacker Burghausen (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Unterhaching have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Wacker Burghausen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bayern München II(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Ansbach(away) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SpVgg Unterhaching win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Wacker Burghausen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching 4-0 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Wacker Burghausen 1-3 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Wacker Burghausen 1-1 SpVgg Unterhaching | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 7, 2023 | SpVgg Unterhaching 0-1 Wacker Burghausen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Wacker Burghausen 3-1 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 5, 2021 | Wacker Burghausen 1-4 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: SpVgg Unterhaching vs Wacker Burghausen on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SpVgg Unterhaching score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wacker Burghausen score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Wacker Burghausen | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SpVgg Unterhaching sit 11th in Regionalliga - Bayern (7 points from 4 matches) and Wacker Burghausen sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wacker Burghausen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SpVgg Unterhaching vs Wacker Burghausen?
- The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Wacker Burghausen.
- Where and when is SpVgg Unterhaching vs Wacker Burghausen played?
- SpVgg Unterhaching vs Wacker Burghausen is played on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlsport Park, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.