Grimsby vs Burton Albion: result 1-0 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 7, 2023 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
Full time
What was the result of Grimsby vs Burton Albion?
Grimsby won 1-0 on January 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 76′Lewis Mark RichardsonGrimsby
Official lineup for Grimsby vs Burton Albion
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Grimsby
4-1-4-1- 10J. McAtee
- 11Otis Khan
- 15H. Clifton
- 8G. Holohan
- 27B. Kiernan
- 4K. Green
- 22D. Amos
- 31N. Maher
- 26A. Smith
- 2M. Efete
- 1M. Crocombe
Burton Albion
4-2-3-1- 14V. Adeboyejo
- 39B. Kamwa
- 12T. Onyango
- 11J. Smith
- 23T. Taylor
- 4A. Oshilaja
- 3C. Borthwick-Jackson
- 15C. Ndaba
- 2J. Brayford
- 37T. Hamer
- 24J. Amissah
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grimsby have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Burton Albion have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | Stockport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Salford City(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Harrogate Town(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Tranmere(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Dec 3, 2022 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | Morecambe(away) | 0-5 | League One |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Forest Green(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Barnsley(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Dec 13, 2022 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-4 | EFL Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 1.8 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Burton Albion | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy