Grimsby vs Burton Albion: result 1-0 and analysis
FA Cup3rd RoundKick-off on January 7, 2023 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire
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What was the result of Grimsby vs Burton Albion?
Grimsby won 1-0 on January 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 76′Lewis Mark RichardsonGrimsby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grimsby have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Burton Albion have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | Stockport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Salford City(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Harrogate Town(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Tranmere(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Dec 3, 2022 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | Morecambe(away) | 0-5 | League One |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Forest Green(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Barnsley(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Dec 13, 2022 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-4 | EFL Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 1.8 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Burton Albion | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy