Grohn vs Oberneuland: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Grohn the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Oberneuland. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grohn vs Oberneuland?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Grohn (1,740) and Oberneuland (1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Grohn have 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Oberneuland have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(home) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eiche Horn(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aumund-Vegesack(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Union Bremen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Woltmershausen(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Werder Bremen III(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 8, 2026 | Leher TS(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 5, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
How many goals should we expect?
Grohn score 0.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 3; Oberneuland score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grohn | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
| Oberneuland | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grohn sit 9th in Oberliga - Bremen (4 points from 3 matches) and Oberneuland sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grohn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | Oberneuland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grohn vs Oberneuland?
- The Footlab model makes Grohn the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Oberneuland.
- Where and when is Grohn vs Oberneuland played?
- Grohn vs Oberneuland is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.