Grorud vs Follo: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 2Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Grorud stadion, Oslo
The Footlab model makes Grorud the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Follo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grorud vs Follo?
Grorud starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,858 vs 1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grorud have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Follo have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Oslo(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skeid(away) | 5-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Lørenskog(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Råde(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rana(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Junkeren(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tromsdalen Uil(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Grorud win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Follo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Follo 2-3 Grorud | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Follo 1-2 Grorud | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| May 25, 2025 | Grorud 3-2 Follo | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Follo 2-2 Grorud | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Grorud 5-2 Follo | 2. Division - Group 2 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Grorud 3-0 Follo | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Grorud score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Follo score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grorud | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Follo | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grorud sit 5th in 2. Division - Group 2 (26 points from 15 matches) and Follo sit 13th (9 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grorud | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 15 | 26 |
| 13 | Follo | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grorud vs Follo?
- The Footlab model makes Grorud the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Follo.
- Where and when is Grorud vs Follo played?
- Grorud vs Follo is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Grorud stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.