Großbardorf vs Gebenbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Westphalen-Stadion, Großbardorf
The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Großbardorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Großbardorf vs Gebenbach?
Gebenbach starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,683).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Großbardorf have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Gebenbach have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordlingen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Großbardorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gebenbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2023 | Gebenbach 4-0 Großbardorf | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Großbardorf 0-6 Gebenbach | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Gebenbach vs Großbardorf on May 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Großbardorf score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gebenbach score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Großbardorf | 1.3 | 1.4 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Gebenbach | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gebenbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Großbardorf vs Gebenbach?
- The Footlab model makes Gebenbach the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Großbardorf.
- Where and when is Großbardorf vs Gebenbach played?
- Großbardorf vs Gebenbach is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Westphalen-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.