Grosseto vs Forli: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
The Footlab model makes Grosseto the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Forli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grosseto vs Forli?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Grosseto (1,787) and Forli (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grosseto have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Forli have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(home) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tre Fiori(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Grosseto score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Forli score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosseto | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Forli | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grosseto sit 9th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Forli sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Forli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Grosseto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grosseto vs Forli?
- The Footlab model makes Grosseto the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Forli.
- Where and when is Grosseto vs Forli played?
- Grosseto vs Forli is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.