Pianese vs Spezia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Piancastagnaio
The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Pianese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spezia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pianese vs Spezia?
Spezia starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,806).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pianese vs Spezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pianese
4-3-3- 11L. Bellini
- 10S. Ianesi
- 37L. Di Cosmo
- 30Francesco Proietto
- 27M. Bertini
- 21M. Tirelli
- 23Nicola Pintus
- 19G. Morelli
- 56L. Masetti
- 15M. Gorelli
- 1G. Astaldi
Spezia
4-2-3-1- 11A. Cardinali
- 70K. Bright
- 14G. Capomaggio
- 24C. Limonelli
- 10K. Jimenez
- 8A. Florenzi
- 13M. Å apola
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 37A. Matějů
- 72S. Capolupo
- 1A. Micai
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pianese have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Spezia have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pineto(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pianese score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 1.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pianese | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Spezia | 1.9 | 0.6 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pianese sit 17th in Serie C - Girone B (8 points from 10 matches) and Spezia sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
| 17 | Pianese | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Pianese vs Spezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pianese vs Spezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Pianese.
- Where and when is Pianese vs Spezia played?
- Pianese vs Spezia is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.