Sambenedettese vs Ostia Mare: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
The Footlab AI model makes Ostia Mare the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Sambenedettese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ostia Mare wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sambenedettese vs Ostia Mare?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Sambenedettese (1,771) and Ostia Mare (1,810).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sambenedettese vs Ostia Mare
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sambenedettese
3-5-2- 9L. Sgarbi
- 93S. Magnaghi
- 6M. Piccoli
- 30S. Nicoli
- 37M. Toure
- 18K. Candellori
- 14E. Plicco
- 17L. Pezzola
- 5M. Chelli
- 4A. Zini
- 12T. Krapikas
Ostia Mare
4-3-3- 77F. Tosku
- 17F. D'Andrea
- 9R. Tonin
- 32F. Casolari
- 71F. Carbone
- 8D. Greco
- 13R. Brosco
- 4D. Piroli
- 5P. Giordani
- 27M. Vagnoni
- 1F. Vertua
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sambenedettese have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Ostia Mare have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vado(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Latina(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Pianese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Sambenedettese score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ostia Mare score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sambenedettese | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Ostia Mare | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sambenedettese sit 18th in Serie C - Girone B (7 points from 10 matches) and Ostia Mare sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ostia Mare | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Sambenedettese vs Ostia Mare?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sambenedettese vs Ostia Mare?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ostia Mare the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Sambenedettese.
- Where and when is Sambenedettese vs Ostia Mare played?
- Sambenedettese vs Ostia Mare is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Riviera delle Palme, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.