Grosseto vs Ostia Mare: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
The Footlab model makes Grosseto the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Ostia Mare. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grosseto vs Ostia Mare?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Grosseto (1,787) and Ostia Mare (1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grosseto have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Ostia Mare have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(home) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Grosseto win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ostia Mare win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Grosseto 2-3 Ostia Mare | Serie D - Championship Round |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Ostia Mare 1-0 Grosseto | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Grosseto 1-0 Ostia Mare | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Grosseto 0-0 Ostia Mare | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Ostia Mare 1-0 Grosseto | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Grosseto vs Ostia Mare on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grosseto score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ostia Mare score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosseto | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Ostia Mare | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grosseto sit 11th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Ostia Mare sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grosseto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ostia Mare | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grosseto vs Ostia Mare?
- The Footlab model makes Grosseto the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Ostia Mare.
- Where and when is Grosseto vs Ostia Mare played?
- Grosseto vs Ostia Mare is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.