Grosseto vs Ostia Mare: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto
The Footlab AI model makes Ostia Mare the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Grosseto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ostia Mare wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grosseto vs Ostia Mare?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Grosseto (1,736) and Ostia Mare (1,734).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Grosseto vs Ostia Mare
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Grosseto
4-3-3- 9Lorenzo Gori
- 28M. Gaddini
- 39l. Tosi
- 5L. Sabattini
- 70F. Fabri
- 29L. Andreoli
- 23F. Ampollini
- 27D. Brenna
- 47M. Mannelli
- 19A. Montini
- 35Alessio Marcu
Ostia Mare
4-3-3- 77F. Tosku
- 17F. D'Andrea
- 9R. Tonin
- 32F. Casolari
- 71F. Carbone
- 8D. Greco
- 13R. Brosco
- 4D. Piroli
- 5P. Giordani
- 27M. Vagnoni
- 1F. Vertua
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grosseto have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ostia Mare have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 4-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Grosseto wins, 1 draw, 3 Ostia Mare wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ostia Mare 1-2 Grosseto | Serie C - Girone B |
| May 13, 2026 | Grosseto 2-3 Ostia Mare | Serie D - Championship Round |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Ostia Mare 1-0 Grosseto | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Grosseto 1-0 Ostia Mare | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Grosseto 0-0 Ostia Mare | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Ostia Mare 1-0 Grosseto | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Ostia Mare vs Grosseto on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grosseto score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ostia Mare score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosseto | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Ostia Mare | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grosseto sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone B (18 points from 9 matches) and Ostia Mare sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grosseto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| 14 | Ostia Mare | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Grosseto vs Ostia Mare?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grosseto vs Ostia Mare?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ostia Mare the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Grosseto.
- Where and when is Grosseto vs Ostia Mare played?
- Grosseto vs Ostia Mare is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.