Perugia vs Vis Pesaro: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
The Footlab model makes Perugia the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Vis Pesaro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Perugia (1,771) and Vis Pesaro (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perugia have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Vis Pesaro have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Forli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Modena(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Perugia win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Vis Pesaro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Perugia 1-2 Vis Pesaro | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Vis Pesaro 0-1 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Perugia 2-1 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 7, 2025 | Perugia 0-1 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Vis Pesaro 0-0 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Vis Pesaro 1-0 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Perugia vs Vis Pesaro on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vis Pesaro score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perugia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Vis Pesaro | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perugia sit 6th in Serie C - Girone B (3 points from 1 matches) and Vis Pesaro sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Perugia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Vis Pesaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?
- The Footlab model makes Perugia the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Vis Pesaro.
- Where and when is Perugia vs Vis Pesaro played?
- Perugia vs Vis Pesaro is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Curi, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.