Match

Perugia vs Vis Pesaro: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia

PerugiaVis Pesaro

The Footlab AI model makes Perugia the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Vis Pesaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Perugia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?

On Elo ratings, Perugia has 1,743 points and Vis Pesaro 1,703.

55%25%20%
Perugia winDrawVis Pesaro win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Perugia vs Vis Pesaro

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Perugia

4-3-3
  1. 9A. Sabbatani
  2. 90E. Vergani
  3. 10L. Canotto
  1. 8R. Ladinetti
  2. 33C. Langella
  3. 30P. van Amersfoort
  1. 4A. Tozzuolo
  2. 28D. Riccardi
  3. 11M. Borsoi
  4. 5F. Brekalo
  1. 1R. Żelezny

Vis Pesaro

4-3-3
  1. 9F. Nicastro
  2. 47A. Konate
  3. 20R. Giovannini
  1. 10M. Di Paola
  2. 7M. Pucciarelli
  3. 55E. Mariani
  1. 45P. Giorgini
  2. 2N. Conti
  3. 5D. Tonucci
  4. 33F. Pompilio
  1. 25A. Gomis

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:10 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perugia have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Vis Pesaro have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Perugia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Vado(home)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Oct 3, 2026Gubbio(away)3-1Serie C - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Reggiana(home)1-0Serie C - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Grosseto(away)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 16, 2026Spezia(home)0-3Serie C - Girone B
Vis Pesaro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Grosseto(home)2-3Serie C - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Guidonia Montecelio 1937(home)2-1Serie C - Girone B
Sep 21, 2026Spezia(away)1-3Serie C - Girone B
Sep 16, 2026Reggiana(home)1-4Serie C - Girone B
Sep 12, 2026Forli(away)1-2Serie C - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Perugia wins, 2 draws, 2 Vis Pesaro wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026Vis Pesaro 2-2 PerugiaSerie C - Girone B
Aug 15, 2026Perugia 1-2 Vis PesaroCoppa Italia Serie C
Mar 29, 2026Vis Pesaro 0-1 PerugiaSerie C - Girone B
Nov 24, 2025Perugia 2-1 Vis PesaroSerie C - Girone B
Feb 7, 2025Perugia 0-1 Vis PesaroSerie C - Girone B
Sep 30, 2024Vis Pesaro 0-0 PerugiaSerie C - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Vis Pesaro vs Perugia on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vis Pesaro score 1.0 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Perugia1.11.537/158/15
Vis Pesaro1.02.7110/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Perugia sit 8th in Serie C - Girone B (13 points from 9 matches) and Vis Pesaro sit 20th (4 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Perugia941491413
20Vis Pesaro811610194

A question about Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?
The Footlab AI model makes Perugia the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Vis Pesaro.
Where and when is Perugia vs Vis Pesaro played?
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Curi, in the Serie C - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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