Ostia Mare vs Vis Pesaro: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Anco Marzio, Lido di Ostia
The Footlab AI model makes Ostia Mare the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Vis Pesaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ostia Mare wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostia Mare vs Vis Pesaro?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Ostia Mare (1,814) and Vis Pesaro (1,729).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ostia Mare vs Vis Pesaro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ostia Mare
4-3-3- 77F. Tosku
- 17F. D'Andrea
- 9R. Tonin
- 32F. Casolari
- 71F. Carbone
- 8D. Greco
- 13R. Brosco
- 4D. Piroli
- 5P. Giordani
- 27M. Vagnoni
- 1F. Vertua
Vis Pesaro
4-3-3- 9F. Nicastro
- 47A. Konate
- 20R. Giovannini
- 10M. Di Paola
- 7M. Pucciarelli
- 55E. Mariani
- 45P. Giorgini
- 2N. Conti
- 5D. Tonucci
- 33F. Pompilio
- 25A. Gomis
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostia Mare have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Vis Pesaro have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Latina(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Spezia(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Reggiana(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Ostia Mare win, 0 draws, 0 Vis Pesaro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Vis Pesaro 1-2 Ostia Mare | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Vis Pesaro vs Ostia Mare on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ostia Mare score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vis Pesaro score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostia Mare | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Vis Pesaro | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostia Mare sit 15th in Serie C - Girone B (9 points from 10 matches) and Vis Pesaro sit 20th (4 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Ostia Mare | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 4 |
A question about Ostia Mare vs Vis Pesaro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostia Mare vs Vis Pesaro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ostia Mare the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Vis Pesaro.
- Where and when is Ostia Mare vs Vis Pesaro played?
- Ostia Mare vs Vis Pesaro is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Anco Marzio, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.