Guadalajara II vs Marchamalo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 · Matchday 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Marchamalo the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Guadalajara II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marchamalo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,219 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara II vs Marchamalo?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Guadalajara II (1,743) and Marchamalo (1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guadalajara II vs Marchamalo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guadalajara II
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara II lineup.
Marchamalo
Not enough data to predict the Marchamalo lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara II have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Marchamalo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Villacañas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | La Solana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Noblejas(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villarrubia(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | San Clemente(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Guadalajara II win, 2 draws, 0 Marchamalo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marchamalo 2-2 Guadalajara II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Guadalajara II 1-0 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Marchamalo 1-1 Guadalajara II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Marchamalo vs Guadalajara II on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara II score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Marchamalo score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara II | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Marchamalo | 1.4 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guadalajara II sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (3 points from 10 matches) and Marchamalo sit 15th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Marchamalo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 12 |
| 18 | Guadalajara II | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 3 |
A question about Guadalajara II vs Marchamalo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara II vs Marchamalo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marchamalo the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Guadalajara II.
- Where and when is Guadalajara II vs Marchamalo played?
- Guadalajara II vs Marchamalo is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.