Toledo vs Noblejas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo, Toledo
The Footlab AI model makes Toledo the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Noblejas. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toledo vs Noblejas?
Toledo is a heavy favourite: 1,916 Elo points against 1,601, a 315-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Toledo vs Noblejas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Toledo
Not enough data to predict the Toledo lineup.
Noblejas
4-3-3- RRaúl Alcalá
- SSergio Nieto
- CCarlos Domenech
- CCarlos Gómez
- MMiguel Chaves Aznar
- SSergio Bazaga
- FFernando Matallanos
- JJuanlu
- CChristian Zielinski
- OOsvaldo Rodrigo Cáceres Vera
- JJavier Torrecilla Guerrero
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toledo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Noblejas have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villacañas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noblejas(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torrijos(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Illescas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villarrobledo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toledo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Clemente(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Toledo wins, 0 draws, 1 Noblejas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noblejas 2-1 Toledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Noblejas 0-4 Toledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Toledo 4-1 Noblejas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
How many goals should we expect?
Toledo score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Noblejas score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Noblejas | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toledo sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (10 points from 5 matches) and Noblejas sit 12th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Toledo vs Noblejas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toledo vs Noblejas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Toledo the favourite at 80%, against 14% for a draw and 6% for Noblejas.
- Where and when is Toledo vs Noblejas played?
- Toledo vs Noblejas is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.