Torrijos vs Socuéllamos: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Francisco, Torrijos
The Footlab model makes Torrijos the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Socuéllamos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torrijos vs Socuéllamos?
Socuéllamos starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torrijos have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Socuéllamos have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | San Clemente(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 5, 2024 | Albacete II(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 1, 2024 | Marchamalo(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Conquense(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Las Palmas II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Torrijos win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Socuéllamos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Socuéllamos 1-1 Torrijos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Torrijos 0-0 Socuéllamos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Socuéllamos 0-0 Torrijos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 13, 2019 | Torrijos 0-1 Socuéllamos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Socuéllamos vs Torrijos on Feb 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Torrijos score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Socuéllamos score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrijos | 0.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Socuéllamos | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torrijos vs Socuéllamos?
- The Footlab model makes Torrijos the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Socuéllamos.
- Where and when is Torrijos vs Socuéllamos played?
- Torrijos vs Socuéllamos is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Francisco, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.