Guarani U20 vs Corinthians U20: prediction and stats
Paulista - U20Quarter-finalsKick-off on October 23, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Centro de Treinamento do Guarani, Campinas, São Paulo
The Footlab AI model makes Guarani U20 the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Corinthians U20. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guarani U20 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,921 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guarani U20 vs Corinthians U20?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Guarani U20 (1,789) and Corinthians U20 (1,798).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guarani U20 vs Corinthians U20
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guarani U20
Not enough data to predict the Guarani U20 lineup.
Corinthians U20
4-3-3- 11Luiz Fernando
- 9Guilherme Inácio
- 20Gustavo
- 7Luiz Gustavo
- 10Dieguinho
- 8G. Amorim
- 4I. Machado
- 3Melo Yago
- 2Pellegrin
- 14Lorenzo
- 1Correa Matheus
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guarani U20 have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Corinthians U20 have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sfera U20(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - U20 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sfera U20(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | União Suzano U20(home) | 4-1 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | União Suzano U20(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gremio Prudente U20(away) | 5-1 | Paulista - U20 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Portuguesa Santista U20(home) | 6-1 | Paulista - U20 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Portuguesa Santista U20(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | XV de Jaú U20(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | XV de Jaú U20(away) | 3-2 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | América-SP U20(home) | 4-0 | Paulista - U20 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Guarani U20 win, 1 draw, 0 Corinthians U20 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Corinthians U20 1-2 Guarani U20 | São Paulo Youth Cup |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Corinthians U20 2-2 Guarani U20 | São Paulo Youth Cup |
Last archived meeting: Corinthians U20 vs Guarani U20 on Jan 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guarani U20 score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Corinthians U20 score 2.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani U20 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Corinthians U20 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guarani U20 sit 5th in Paulista - U20 (3 points from 1 match) and Corinthians U20 sit 6th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Guarani U20Group 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Corinthians U20Group 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
A question about Guarani U20 vs Corinthians U20?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guarani U20 vs Corinthians U20?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guarani U20 the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Corinthians U20.
- Where and when is Guarani U20 vs Corinthians U20 played?
- Guarani U20 vs Corinthians U20 is played on October 23, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Centro de Treinamento do Guarani, in the Paulista - U20.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.