Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20: prediction and stats
Paulista - U20Round of 16Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Centro de Treinamento do Guarani, Campinas, São Paulo
The Footlab AI model makes Guarani U20 the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Sfera U20. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20?
Guarani U20 starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,600).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guarani U20
Not enough data to predict the Guarani U20 lineup.
Sfera U20
Not enough data to predict the Sfera U20 lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guarani U20 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Sfera U20 have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sfera U20(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | União Suzano U20(home) | 4-1 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | União Suzano U20(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gremio Prudente U20(away) | 5-1 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | XV de Jaú U20(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - U20 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Guarani U20(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | XV de Piracicaba U20(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | XV de Piracicaba U20(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Palmeiras U20(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - U20 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ituano U20(home) | 5-2 | Paulista - U20 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Guarani U20 win, 0 draws, 1 Sfera U20 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sfera U20 2-1 Guarani U20 | Paulista - U20 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Guarani U20 2-0 Sfera U20 | Paulista - U20 |
Last archived meeting: Sfera U20 vs Guarani U20 on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guarani U20 score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sfera U20 score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani U20 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sfera U20 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guarani U20 sit 5th in Paulista - U20 (3 points from 1 match) and Sfera U20 sit 14th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Guarani U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Sfera U20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guarani U20 the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Sfera U20.
- Where and when is Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20 played?
- Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20 is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Centro de Treinamento do Guarani, in the Paulista - U20.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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