Guaratinguetá vs Portuguesa: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 8Kick-off on July 9, 2016 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Professor Dario Rodrigues Leite, Guaratinguetá, São Paulo
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What was the result of Guaratinguetá vs Portuguesa?
Guaratinguetá won 2-1 on July 9, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 49′Bruno XavierPortuguesa
- 66′André ClóvisGuaratinguetá
- 88′Adriano de Jesus SouzaGuaratinguetá
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guaratinguetá have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Portuguesa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2016 | Macaé(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Jun 26, 2016 | Tombense(home) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Jun 20, 2016 | Botafogo SP(away) | 2-6 | Serie C |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Ypiranga-RS(away) | 2-3 | Serie C |
| Jun 5, 2016 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2016 | BOA(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 27, 2016 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 18, 2016 | Juventude(away) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Botafogo SP(home) | 0-5 | Serie C |
| Jun 4, 2016 | Ypiranga-RS(home) | 3-1 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Guaratinguetá wins, 0 draws, 2 Portuguesa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2015 | Portuguesa 2-1 Guaratinguetá | Serie C |
| Jun 8, 2015 | Guaratinguetá 0-3 Portuguesa | Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Portuguesa vs Guaratinguetá on Aug 23, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Guaratinguetá score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Portuguesa score 0.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guaratinguetá | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Portuguesa | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy