Guarnizo vs Atlético Albericia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Pilar, Guarnizo
The Footlab AI model makes Guarnizo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Albericia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guarnizo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,323 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guarnizo vs Atlético Albericia?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Guarnizo (1,736) and Atlético Albericia (1,733).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guarnizo vs Atlético Albericia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guarnizo
Not enough data to predict the Guarnizo lineup.
Atlético Albericia
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Albericia lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 02:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guarnizo have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Atlético Albericia have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Revilla(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Solares(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Selaya(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bezana(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Naval Reinosa(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Escobedo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Castro(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Guarnizo wins, 0 draws, 1 Atlético Albericia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Atlético Albericia 1-3 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Guarnizo 1-4 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Atlético Albericia 1-3 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Guarnizo 3-2 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Atlético Albericia 1-2 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Guarnizo 1-0 Atlético Albericia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Albericia vs Guarnizo on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guarnizo score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Albericia score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarnizo | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Albericia | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guarnizo sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (8 points from 10 matches) and Atlético Albericia sit 14th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Guarnizo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Atlético Albericia | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Guarnizo vs Atlético Albericia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guarnizo vs Atlético Albericia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guarnizo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Atlético Albericia.
- Where and when is Guarnizo vs Atlético Albericia played?
- Guarnizo vs Atlético Albericia is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Pilar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.