Guarnizo vs Castro: result 4-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 22Kick-off on February 26, 2023 at 10:45 AM (UTC)Estadio El Pilar, Guarnizo
Full time
What was the result of Guarnizo vs Castro?
Guarnizo won 4-1 on February 26, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 5′Rubén GagoGuarnizo
- 17′Daniel MironesGuarnizo
- 34′Rubén GagoGuarnizo
- 56′Marcos CagigasGuarnizo
- 61′CristianoCastro
Official lineup for Guarnizo vs Castro
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guarnizo
- GGuille Ocejo
- DDaniel Mirones
- RRubén Gago
- DDavid Somaza
- JJavier Muñoz
- VVíctor Pérez
- MMarcos Cagigas
- LLeguina
- AAlejandro Loiacono
- RRubén Obeso
- VVía
Castro
- LLlamosas
- CCristiano
- EEduardo Masside
- CChea
- AAnder Colina
- JJavier Cea
- GGorka Martín
- AAnder Lambea
- AAnder Barreras
- MMarcio
- EEndika Sacristán
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guarnizo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Castro have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | Cartes(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Cayón(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Vimenor(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Revilla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Solares(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | Siete Villas(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Sámano(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Torina(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Gama(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Textil Escudo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Guarnizo wins, 3 draws, 0 Castro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2022 | Castro 0-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Castro 0-0 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Guarnizo 0-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Guarnizo 2-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Castro 1-2 Guarnizo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guarnizo score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Castro score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarnizo | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Castro | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guarnizo sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Castro sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guarnizo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Castro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Guarnizo vs Castro?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy