Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio David Cordón Hichos, Guastatoya
The Footlab model makes Guastatoya the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Cobán Imperial. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Guastatoya (1,655) and Cobán Imperial (1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guastatoya have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cobán Imperial have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mixco(away) | 2-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Municipal(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Antigua GFC(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Malacateco(home) | 4-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Marquense(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Guastatoya win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cobán Imperial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cobán Imperial 1-1 Guastatoya | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Guastatoya 2-0 Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Cobán Imperial 2-1 Guastatoya | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Guastatoya 0-1 Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Cobán Imperial 0-0 Guastatoya | Liga Nacional |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Guastatoya 4-0 Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Cobán Imperial vs Guastatoya on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guastatoya score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cobán Imperial score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guastatoya | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Cobán Imperial | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guastatoya sit 7th in Liga Nacional (31 points from 22 matches) and Cobán Imperial sit 6th (32 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cobán Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 32 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial?
- The Footlab model makes Guastatoya the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Cobán Imperial.
- Where and when is Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial played?
- Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio David Cordón Hichos, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.