Aurora vs Antigua GFC: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio del Ejército, Ciudad de Guatemala
The Footlab AI model makes Aurora the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Antigua GFC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aurora wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aurora vs Antigua GFC?
On Elo ratings, Aurora has 1,578 points and Antigua GFC 1,693.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aurora vs Antigua GFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aurora
4-3-3- 31V. Urias
- 13H. Morales
- 12Paulo Motta
- 17D. Bajan
- 10J. Vivas
- 18J. Grajeda
- 4C. Monterroso
- 3Marcos Antonio Acosta Rojas
- 15K. Garcia
- 5J. Lemus
- 22L. Sanchez
Antigua GFC
4-3-3- 81W. Fajardo
- 22J. Franco
- 15A. Maziero
- 4J. Carbonell
- 34K. López
- 8S. Garzaro
- 21A. Robinson
- 7J. Gálvez
- 17Ó. Castellanos
- 24S. Zúñiga
- 1L. Morán
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Antigua GFC have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Guastatoya(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marquense(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mixco(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Municipal(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Marquense(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mixco(away) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Xelajú(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aurora win, 0 draws, 5 Antigua GFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Antigua GFC 2-1 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Aurora 0-2 Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Antigua GFC 2-0 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Antigua GFC 4-2 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Aurora 0-1 Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Antigua GFC 1-2 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Antigua GFC score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Antigua GFC | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aurora sit 11th in Liga Nacional (20 points from 22 matches) and Antigua GFC sit 5th (34 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Antigua GFC | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 34 |
| 11 | Aurora | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 20 |
A question about Aurora vs Antigua GFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aurora vs Antigua GFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aurora the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Antigua GFC.
- Where and when is Aurora vs Antigua GFC played?
- Aurora vs Antigua GFC is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio del Ejército, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.