Gubbio vs Grosseto: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 14Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Grosseto. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gubbio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gubbio vs Grosseto?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Gubbio (1,765) and Grosseto (1,812).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gubbio vs Grosseto
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gubbio
4-3-3- 10A. La Mantia
- 7M. Spina
- 77A. Minta
- 8G. Rosaia
- 47G. Di Noia
- 14A. Cardascio
- 27L. Podda
- 6O. Barry
- 4L. Baroncelli
- 34F. Zallu
- 1N. Bagnolini
Grosseto
4-3-3- 9Lorenzo Gori
- 28M. Gaddini
- 39l. Tosi
- 5L. Sabattini
- 70F. Fabri
- 29L. Andreoli
- 23F. Ampollini
- 27D. Brenna
- 47M. Mannelli
- 19A. Montini
- 35Alessio Marcu
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gubbio have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Grosseto have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 4-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gubbio wins, 2 draws, 0 Grosseto wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Gubbio 0-0 Grosseto | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Grosseto 1-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Gubbio score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Grosseto score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gubbio | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Grosseto | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gubbio sit 18th in Serie C - Girone B (7 points from 9 matches) and Grosseto sit 3rd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grosseto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
| 18 | Gubbio | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Gubbio vs Grosseto?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gubbio vs Grosseto?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Grosseto.
- Where and when is Gubbio vs Grosseto played?
- Gubbio vs Grosseto is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.