Vis Pesaro vs Pianese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 14Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tonino Benelli, Pesaro
The Footlab model makes Pianese the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Vis Pesaro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Pianese?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Vis Pesaro (1,781) and Pianese (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vis Pesaro have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Pianese have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Modena(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 13, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Vis Pesaro win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pianese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Pianese 1-2 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Vis Pesaro 0-0 Pianese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Vis Pesaro 2-0 Pianese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Pianese 2-0 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Pianese vs Vis Pesaro on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vis Pesaro score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pianese score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vis Pesaro | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Pianese | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vis Pesaro sit 17th in Serie C - Girone B (0 points from 1 matches) and Pianese sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Vis Pesaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Pianese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vis Pesaro vs Pianese?
- The Footlab model makes Pianese the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Vis Pesaro.
- Where and when is Vis Pesaro vs Pianese played?
- Vis Pesaro vs Pianese is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tonino Benelli, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.