Spezia vs Vado: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 14Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Vado. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spezia vs Vado?
On Elo ratings, Spezia has 1,902 points and Vado 1,837.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spezia vs Vado
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spezia
4-2-3-1- 9S. Mazzocchi
- 70K. Bright
- 14G. Capomaggio
- 24C. Limonelli
- 10K. Jimenez
- 8A. Florenzi
- 13M. Å apola
- 72S. Capolupo
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 37A. Matějů
- 1A. Micai
Vado
4-3-3- 11D. Vita
- 31M. Ferro
- 9L. Lischetti
- 20M. De Rinaldis
- 28Z. Hamlili
- 17Mirko Lazzarini
- 5Mirko Saltarelli
- 29F. Saiani
- 18L. Piana
- 14F. Gulinelli
- 22A. Bellocci
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spezia have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Vado have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Livorno(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Torres(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pescara(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Spezia win, 0 draws, 0 Vado wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Spezia 3-0 Vado | Coppa Italia Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Spezia score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vado score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Vado | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spezia sit 1st in Serie C - Girone B (22 points from 8 matches) and Vado sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 14 | Vado | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Spezia vs Vado?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spezia vs Vado?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Vado.
- Where and when is Spezia vs Vado played?
- Spezia vs Vado is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alberto Picco, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.