Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Perugia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Guidonia Montecelio
The Footlab model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Perugia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Perugia?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (1,797) and Perugia (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Perugia have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Forli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Perugia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1-2 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Perugia 0-0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1-3 Perugia | Coppa Italia Serie C |
Last archived meeting: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Perugia on Jan 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Perugia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 1st in Serie C - Girone B (3 points from 1 matches) and Perugia sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Perugia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Perugia?
- The Footlab model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Perugia.
- Where and when is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Perugia played?
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Perugia is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.