Sambenedettese vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
The Footlab model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Sambenedettese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sambenedettese vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Sambenedettese (1,792) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sambenedettese have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Forli(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Avellino(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sambenedettese win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0-1 Sambenedettese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Sambenedettese 0-1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Sambenedettese on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sambenedettese score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sambenedettese | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sambenedettese sit 7th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sambenedettese vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
- The Footlab model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Sambenedettese.
- Where and when is Sambenedettese vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 played?
- Sambenedettese vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Riviera delle Palme, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.