Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Vis Pesaro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gubbio wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
On Elo ratings, Gubbio has 1,750 points and Vis Pesaro 1,703.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gubbio
4-3-3- 10A. La Mantia
- 7M. Spina
- 92E. Baldini
- 8G. Rosaia
- 47G. Di Noia
- 67F. Carraro
- 27L. Podda
- 4L. Baroncelli
- 34F. Zallu
- 6O. Barry
- 1N. Bagnolini
Vis Pesaro
4-3-3- 9F. Nicastro
- 47A. Konate
- 20R. Giovannini
- 10M. Di Paola
- 7M. Pucciarelli
- 55E. Mariani
- 45P. Giorgini
- 2N. Conti
- 5D. Tonucci
- 33F. Pompilio
- 25A. Gomis
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gubbio have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Vis Pesaro have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Spezia(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Reggiana(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Forli(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gubbio wins, 2 draws, 1 Vis Pesaro win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Gubbio 5-0 Vis Pesaro | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Gubbio 1-0 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Vis Pesaro 1-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Vis Pesaro 1-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Gubbio 1-3 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Vis Pesaro 1-3 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Gubbio score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vis Pesaro score 1.0 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gubbio | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Vis Pesaro | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gubbio sit 18th in Serie C - Girone B (7 points from 9 matches) and Vis Pesaro sit 20th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Gubbio | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 4 |
A question about Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gubbio the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Vis Pesaro.
- Where and when is Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro played?
- Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.