Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Spezia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 37Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Guidonia Montecelio
The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Guidonia Montecelio 1937. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spezia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Spezia?
Spezia starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Spezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
4-3-3- 30F. Ferrari
- 9E. Vertainen
- 73A. Falleni
- 4E. Celeghin
- 20P. Giannotti
- 8Andrea Errico
- 2S. Esempio
- 11O. Viteritti
- 77D. Zappella
- 33D. Borghini
- 25G. Drago
Spezia
4-3-3- 11A. Cardinali
- 97D. Cazzadori
- 9S. Mazzocchi
- 14G. Capomaggio
- 10K. Jimenez
- 70K. Bright
- 13M. Å apola
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 37A. Matějů
- 72S. Capolupo
- 1A. Micai
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Spezia have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Torres(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forli(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 4-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Livorno(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Latina(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Spezia | 2.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 7th in Serie C - Girone B (20 points from 13 matches) and Spezia sit 1st (35 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 35 |
| 7 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 20 |
A question about Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Spezia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Spezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
- Where and when is Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Spezia played?
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Spezia is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.