Perugia vs Forli: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 37Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
The Footlab AI model makes Perugia the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Forli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Perugia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perugia vs Forli?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Perugia (1,683) and Forli (1,705).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Perugia vs Forli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Perugia
4-3-3- 9A. Sabbatani
- 90E. Vergani
- 10L. Canotto
- 8R. Ladinetti
- 33C. Langella
- 30P. van Amersfoort
- 4A. Tozzuolo
- 28D. Riccardi
- 11M. Borsoi
- 5F. Brekalo
- 1R. Żelezny
Forli
3-5-2- 10D. Macri
- 11N. Farinelli
- 6C. De Risio
- 8M. Rosetti
- 15F. Valentini
- 30G. Perretta
- 23J. Scaccabarozzi
- 95L. Munaretti
- 35S. Diop
- 21G. Mattioli
- 12D. Theiner
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perugia have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Forli have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vado(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Reggiana(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Livorno(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vado(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Torres(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Perugia wins, 1 draw, 0 Forli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Forli 1-1 Perugia | Serie C - Girone B |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Perugia 4-0 Forli | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Perugia 4-2 Forli | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Perugia score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Forli score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perugia | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Forli | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perugia sit 8th in Serie C - Girone B (13 points from 9 matches) and Forli sit 11th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Perugia | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Forli | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Perugia vs Forli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perugia vs Forli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Perugia the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Forli.
- Where and when is Perugia vs Forli played?
- Perugia vs Forli is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Curi, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.