Guijuelo vs Atlético Mansillés: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo
The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guijuelo vs Atlético Mansillés?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Guijuelo (1,848) and Atlético Mansillés (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guijuelo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético Mansillés have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ribert(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Mojados(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Guijuelo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Atlético Mansillés win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés 2-1 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Guijuelo 1-0 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Guijuelo on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guijuelo | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlético Mansillés | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guijuelo sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (70 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Mansillés sit 6th (57 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 70 |
| 6 | Atlético Mansillés | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guijuelo vs Atlético Mansillés?
- The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Atlético Mansillés.
- Where and when is Guijuelo vs Atlético Mansillés played?
- Guijuelo vs Atlético Mansillés is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Feb 14, 2027Cultural Leonesa IIvsUD Santa Marta
- Feb 14, 2027La Virgen del CaminovsBembibre
- Feb 14, 2027Colegios DiocesanosvsSalamanca II
- Feb 14, 2027Palencia CFvsAlmazán
- Feb 14, 2027VillaralbovsCalasanz de Soria
- Feb 14, 2027Unionistas IIvsCristo Atlético