Match

Arandina vs Turégano: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Montecillo, Aranda de Duero

ArandinaTurégano

The Footlab AI model makes Arandina the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Turégano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arandina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,122 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arandina vs Turégano?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Arandina (1,740) and Turégano (1,729).

48%27%25%
Arandina winDrawTurégano win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arandina vs Turégano

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arandina

Not enough data to predict the Arandina lineup.

Turégano

4-3-3
  1. 7Alcubilla
  2. 10Juan Núñez
  3. 11Carlos Cotrina
  1. 5David Aguado
  2. 14Guillermo Martín Duque
  3. 20Adri González
  1. 3David Arranz Sanz
  2. 2Javier García
  3. 4Julio Gómez
  4. 16Marcos San Miguel
  1. 1Álvaro González

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arandina have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Turégano have 2, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arandina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Bembibre(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 10, 2026Cristo Atlético(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 3, 2026Turégano(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 26, 2026Calasanz de Soria(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 20, 2026Salamanca II(away)4-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Turégano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 10, 2026Villaralbo(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 3, 2026Arandina(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 26, 2026Unionistas II(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 19, 2026La Virgen del Camino(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Arandina wins, 1 draw, 0 Turégano wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Turégano 1-1 ArandinaTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Turégano vs Arandina on Oct 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arandina score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Turégano score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arandina1.51.4211/156/15
Turégano1.11.716/106/10

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arandina sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (9 points from 7 matches) and Turégano sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Arandina72329109
14Turégano71338116

A question about Arandina vs Turégano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arandina vs Turégano?
The Footlab AI model makes Arandina the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Turégano.
Where and when is Arandina vs Turégano played?
Arandina vs Turégano is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Montecillo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arandina and Turégano

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