Where and when is Cultural Leonesa II vs UD Santa Marta played?

Cultural Leonesa II vs UD Santa Marta is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Área Deportiva Municipal Puente Castro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cultural Leonesa II vs UD Santa Marta: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Área Deportiva Municipal Puente Castro, León

Cultural Leonesa II

UD Santa Marta

The Footlab model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Cultural Leonesa II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cultural Leonesa II vs UD Santa Marta?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Cultural Leonesa II (1,745) and UD Santa Marta (1,807).

Cultural Leonesa II win35 %

Draw27 %

UD Santa Marta win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cultural Leonesa II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; UD Santa Marta have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cultural Leonesa II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Atlético Mansillés(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026	Numancia II(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Cristo Atlético(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

UD Santa Marta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 16, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cultural Leonesa II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 UD Santa Marta win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II 1-0 UD Santa Marta	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 13, 2025	UD Santa Marta 2-0 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 23, 2025	UD Santa Marta 0-1 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 12, 2024	Cultural Leonesa II 4-3 UD Santa Marta	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 3, 2024	UD Santa Marta 0-0 Cultural Leonesa II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 16, 2023	Cultural Leonesa II 0-1 UD Santa Marta	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Cultural Leonesa II vs UD Santa Marta on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cultural Leonesa II score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; UD Santa Marta score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cultural Leonesa II	1.3	1.5	5	5/15	11/15
UD Santa Marta	1.5	1.3	2	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cultural Leonesa II sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (42 points from 34 matches) and UD Santa Marta sit 5th (62 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	UD Santa Marta	34	18	8	8	53	31	62
10	Cultural Leonesa II	34	12	6	16	38	43	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cultural Leonesa II vs UD Santa Marta?: The Footlab model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Cultural Leonesa II.
Where and when is Cultural Leonesa II vs UD Santa Marta played?: Cultural Leonesa II vs UD Santa Marta is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Área Deportiva Municipal Puente Castro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.