Guimaraes vs Arouca: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 15, 2024 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
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What was the result of Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Guimaraes won 2-1 on January 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 8′JasonArouca
- 45′Jota SilvaGuimaraes
- 64′André SilvaGuimaraes
Official lineup for Guimaraes vs Arouca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guimaraes
3-4-3- 77Nuno Santos
- 7André Silva
- 11Jota Silva
- 19Ricardo Mangas
- 8Tomás Händel
- 10Tiago Silva
- 76Bruno Gaspar
- 4Tomás Ribeiro
- 24T. Borevković
- 44Jorge Fernandes
- 14Bruno Varela
Arouca
4-4-2- 19Rafa Mujica
- 23Cristo González
- 2M. Sylla
- 8E. Kouassi
- 5David Simão
- 10Jason
- 28Tiago Esgaio
- 4Javi Montero
- 13M. Rocha
- 22B. Milovanov
- 12I. de Arruabarrena
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Arouca have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | Penafiel(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SC Braga(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Boavista(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Sporting CP(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024 | Vizela(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Benfica(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Estrela(away) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 16, 2023 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Rio Ave(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Guimaraes win, 3 draws, 2 Arouca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Guimaraes 1-3 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Arouca 0-0 Guimaraes | Taça de Portugal |
| May 7, 2017 | Guimaraes 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Arouca | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 15th in Primeira Liga (5 points from 8 matches) and Arouca sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Guimaraes vs Arouca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy