Guimaraes vs Arouca: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 7, 2017 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
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What was the result of Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Guimaraes won 1-0 on May 7, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 76′M. MaregaGuimaraes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Arouca have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2017 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Boavista(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 15, 2017 | Chaves(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Tondela(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 4, 2017 | Chaves(away) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2017 | Moreirense(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 21, 2017 | Rio Ave(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 15, 2017 | Feirense(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guimaraes win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2016 | Arouca 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| May 14, 2016 | Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 9, 2016 | Guimaraes 2-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Guimaraes 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 7, 2014 | Arouca 1-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 17, 2014 | Guimaraes 2-3 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.0 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Arouca | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 9th in Primeira Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Arouca sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy