Guimaraes vs Estoril: result 3-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 1, 2023 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
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What was the result of Guimaraes vs Estoril?
Guimaraes won 3-2 on October 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 12′Tiago AraújoEstoril
- 20′Rodrigo GomesEstoril
- 56′André SilvaGuimaraes
- 69′João MendesGuimaraes
- 90′Alisson SafiraGuimaraes (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Estoril have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Casa Pia(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Portimonense(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Tondela(home) | 0-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Benfica(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Vizela(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2023 | Leixoes(away) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Vizela(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | GIL Vicente(away) | 3-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Boavista(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Estrela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Guimaraes win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | Estoril 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Guimaraes 3-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Estoril 0-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2018 | Guimaraes 3-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 14, 2017 | Estoril 3-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 2.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Estoril | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 9th in Primeira Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Estoril sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy