Guimaraes vs Estrela: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
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What was the result of Guimaraes vs Estrela?
Guimaraes won 2-1 on February 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 10′Paulo MoreiraEstrela
- 64′Thiago BalieiroGuimaraes
- 68′Diogo SousaGuimaraes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Estrela have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 2-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 0-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Guimaraes win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Estrela 0-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Guimaraes 0-1 Estrela | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Guimaraes 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Estrela 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.5 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrela | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 16th in Primeira Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Estrela sit 9th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Guimaraes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy