Guimaraes vs Estrela: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Full time
What was the result of Guimaraes vs Estrela?
Guimaraes won 2-1 on February 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 10′Paulo MoreiraEstrela
- 64′Thiago BalieiroGuimaraes
- 68′Diogo SousaGuimaraes
Official lineup for Guimaraes vs Estrela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guimaraes
4-2-3-1- 19O. Camara
- 48N. Saviolo
- 20Samu
- 11Gustavo
- 23Diogo Sousa
- 16Beni
- 13João Mendes
- 26R. Abascal
- 28Thiago Balieiro
- 66T. Strata
- 27Charles
Estrela
4-1-4-1- 9Rodrigo Pinho
- 11Jovane Cabral
- 19Paulo Moreira
- 39Eddy Doue
- 99A. Marcus
- 4S. Leković
- 83Otávio
- 14Bernardo Schappo
- 30Luan Patrick
- 17Jefferson Encada
- 40Renan Ribeiro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Estrela have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 2-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 0-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Guimaraes wins, 1 draw, 1 Estrela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Estrela 0-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Guimaraes 0-1 Estrela | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Guimaraes 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Estrela 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.5 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrela | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 15th in Primeira Liga (5 points from 8 matches) and Estrela sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Guimaraes vs Estrela?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy