Casa Pia vs Arouca: result 3-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Full time
What was the result of Casa Pia vs Arouca?
Casa Pia won 3-2 on February 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 11′BarberoArouca
- 21′Rafael BritoCasa Pia
- 25′CassianoCasa Pia
- 37′Abdu ContéArouca (o.g.)
- 45′CassianoCasa Pia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casa Pia have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Arouca have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Nacional(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 2, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 23, 2026 | AVS(home) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Guimaraes(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Casa Pia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Arouca 0-2 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| May 4, 2025 | Arouca 0-0 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Casa Pia 3-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Casa Pia 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Arouca 0-1 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Arouca 2-0 Casa Pia | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Casa Pia score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.3 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Arouca | 1.3 | 2.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casa Pia sit 18th in Primeira Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Arouca sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy