Estrela vs Guimaraes: result 0-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 14, 2025 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Guimaraes?
Guimaraes won 0-2 on September 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 33′Nélson OliveiraGuimaraes
- 90′A. NdoyeGuimaraes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Guimaraes have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Alverca(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Benfica(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Estoril(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Arouca(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Moreirense(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Estoril(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 11, 2025 | FC Porto(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Estrela win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Guimaraes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Guimaraes 0-1 Estrela | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Guimaraes 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Estrela 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Estrela 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 0.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Guimaraes | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 10th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Guimaraes sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Guimaraes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy