Guimaraes vs Nacional: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2026 at 08:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
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What was the result of Guimaraes vs Nacional?
Guimaraes won 2-1 on January 2, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 70′N. SavioloGuimaraes
- 87′R. AbascalGuimaraes
- 90′C. LabidiNacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Nacional have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Casa Pia(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 17, 2025 | AVS(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 8, 2025 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | AVS(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Tondela(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Benfica(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | SC Braga(away) | 2-4 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Guimaraes win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Nacional 1-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Guimaraes 2-2 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 26, 2021 | Nacional 1-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Guimaraes 3-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2019 | Guimaraes 2-2 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 2, 2019 | Nacional 1-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 9th in Primeira Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Nacional sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy