Guimaraes vs Nacional: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 27, 2012 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
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What was the result of Guimaraes vs Nacional?
Guimaraes won 1-0 on January 27, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 78′EdgarGuimaraes (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nacional have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2012 | FC Porto(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 15, 2012 | Academica(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 8, 2012 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 17, 2011 | GIL Vicente(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 11, 2011 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2012 | Feirense(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 15, 2012 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 8, 2012 | GIL Vicente(away) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 18, 2011 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Guimaraes win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2011 | Nacional 1-4 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 6, 2011 | Guimaraes 0-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 28, 2010 | Nacional 1-3 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Nacional | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 9th in Primeira Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Nacional sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy