Guimaraes vs Penafiel: result 1-0 and analysis
Taça de PortugalRound of 16Kick-off on January 11, 2024 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Full time
What was the result of Guimaraes vs Penafiel?
Guimaraes won 1-0 on January 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 74′Jota SilvaGuimaraes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Penafiel have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | SC Braga(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Boavista(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Sporting CP(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Farense(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | Vilaverdense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Maritimo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 16, 2023 | União de Leiria(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Tondela(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Guimaraes win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Penafiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | Penafiel 1-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 22, 2014 | Guimaraes 3-0 Penafiel | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Penafiel vs Guimaraes on Jan 31, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy