Guinea vs Libya: result 3-2 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Africa3rd Round - 3Kick-off on August 31, 2017 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan
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What was the result of Guinea vs Libya?
Guinea won 3-2 on August 31, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 7′N. KeïtaGuinea
- 23′D. CamaraGuinea
- 87′Motasem SabbouLibya
- 88′Akram ZuwayLibya
- 90′Alkhali BangouraGuinea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guinea have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Libya have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2017 | Senegal(home) | 5-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 14, 2017 | Senegal(away) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Guinea-Bissau(home) | 7-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Guinea-Bissau(away) | 3-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Ivory Coast(away) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2017 | Algeria(home) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 11, 2017 | Algeria(away) | 2-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 9, 2017 | Seychelles(home) | 5-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jun 5, 2017 | Egypt(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2017 | Togo(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Guinea score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Libya score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Libya | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guinea sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (15 points from 10 matches) and Libya sit 3rd (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Libya | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 4 | Guinea | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy