Zambia vs Algeria: result 3-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Africa3rd Round - 3Kick-off on September 2, 2017 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
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What was the result of Zambia vs Algeria?
Zambia won 3-1 on September 2, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 6′Brian MwilaZambia
- 33′Brian MwilaZambia
- 55′Y. BrahimiAlgeria
- 89′E. MwepuZambia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Algeria have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2017 | South Africa(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 11, 2017 | South Africa(away) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 5, 2017 | Ethiopia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Swaziland(home) | 3-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 15, 2017 | Swaziland(away) | 4-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2017 | Libya(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 11, 2017 | Libya(home) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 11, 2017 | Togo(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jun 6, 2017 | Guinea(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jan 23, 2017 | Senegal(away) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Algeria score 1.8 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Algeria | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zambia sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (9 points from 8 matches) and Algeria sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Zambia | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy