Botswana vs Libya: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Francistown Stadium, Francistown
The Footlab model makes Botswana the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Libya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botswana vs Libya?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Botswana (1,428) and Libya (1,501).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botswana have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Libya have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Malawi(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zimbabwe(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Congo DR(home) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Benin(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Senegal(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Liberia(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Niger(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Palestine(away) | 0-0 | Arab Cup |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Mauritania(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Mauritius(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Botswana win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Libya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2023 | Botswana 1-0 Libya | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 1, 2022 | Libya 1-0 Botswana | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Botswana score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Libya score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botswana | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Libya | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botswana sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (8 points from 6 matches) and Libya sit 4th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Botswana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
| 4 | Libya | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botswana vs Libya?
- The Footlab model makes Botswana the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Libya.
- Where and when is Botswana vs Libya played?
- Botswana vs Libya is played on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Francistown Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.