Guinea vs Uganda: result 0-3 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on August 8, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
Full time
What was the result of Guinea vs Uganda?
Uganda won 0-3 on August 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 31′R. MpandeUganda
- 62′A. OkelloUganda (pen.)
- 89′524221Uganda
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guinea have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Uganda have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2025 | Niger(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Central African Republic(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Senegal(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Uganda(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Somalia(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2025 | Algeria(home) | 0-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Senegal(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Senegal(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Tanzania(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Gambia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Guinea win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Uganda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | Uganda 1-0 Guinea | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Guinea 2-1 Uganda | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Guinea score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea | 1.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Uganda | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guinea sit 4th in African Nations Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Uganda sit 1st (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Guinea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy