Uganda vs Guinea: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on March 25, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
Full time
What was the result of Uganda vs Guinea?
Uganda won 1-0 on March 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 36′A. OkelloUganda
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uganda have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Guinea have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Mozambique(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Burundi(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Burundi(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Congo(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2024 | South Africa(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Somalia(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Guinea-Bissau(away) | 2-1 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Guinea-Bissau(home) | 4-1 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Tanzania(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Congo DR(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Uganda win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guinea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | Guinea 2-1 Uganda | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Uganda score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guinea score 2.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda | 1.2 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Guinea | 2.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uganda sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification Africa (18 points from 10 matches) and Guinea sit 4th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Uganda | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Guinea | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy